[whataretheysaying] Mary Madigan: Using their hate against them
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Tue Aug 1 15:01:41 EDT 2006
Posted by Mary Madigan:
Using their hate against them
http://whataretheysaying.powerblogs.com/posts/1154458877.shtml
M. Simon offers [1]more on strategy:
The Arab world is rising up behind behind Hizbollah. The Egyptians
lost the Six Day War and here Hizbollah has been fighting for over
two weeks and is still in the field. A moral victory if not a real
one.
So there is the civilian morale factors. There are of course others
which I intend to ignore for purposes of this analysis.
Next I'd like to state Israel's maximum war aims, followed by how
the war in Lebanon started and evolved. What is the desired outcome
for Israel? The defeat of Hizbollah, Syria, and Iran.How do you do
that? Pin the Hizbollah. Take the Bekaa resupply area. Syria gets
involved out of popular desire, and because the Bekaa Valley is on
the Syrian border. Iran comes in to support Syria. America takes
out Iran.
So those are the goals and grand strategy. What strategy and
tactics are required to achieve those goals?
The first part of the strategy was to give Hizbollah 24 hours to
respond to Israeli demands to return its soldiers or else. With no
response Israel crossed the border but didn't get far. Raids.
Reconisance in force. Day after day. Occasionally new troops are
called up. Stupid Olmert insist that they be used to relieve front
line troops. They rotate in and out of what amounts to a live fire
exercise. Hizbollah is being attrited but no ground is being
gained. The Israeli Army and government is looking more and more
incompetent by the day. Israel defeated five armies in the Six Day
War. It is now going on two weeks plus and 5,000 Hezbollah fighters
are holding the mighty Israeli Army within a few miles of the
border. The front is static. The hizzies are winning. This is no
Six Day War. The Israeli forces are checked by what appears to be a
force barely adequate to hold them for a day let alone several
weeks. Things are not going well. Not going well at all. The Arab
street is convinced of the ineptness Israeli generalship. The
civilians in goverment from Olmert on down are giving the military
bad advice. Who put those galoots in charge? The thing that is
fooling most people is that Olmert, Peretz, and the rest look and
sound like nebbishes. And they are mostly Labor. Not known for
their warrior spirit. All the better. And all the reporting about
cabinet meetings saying there is dissention in the cabinent and
they are holding the troops back.
That is almost all deception. Its purpose is to entice Syria and
Iran. If that doesn't work secondary pressure can be brought from
an inflamed Arab street. And the Arab street is on fire. So much so
that Saudi Arabia has been forced to change its "official position"
on the war. And the troop rotations? Well when the big push comes
you will have a lot of very well and recently trained troops to
lead the way and teach others. Reducing casualties.
In any case Hizbollah is pinned. Its forces reduced and the axis of
advance to the Bekka Valley has had the chance and intensity of
flank attacks reduced.
This is what is called preparing the battlefield. Such artistry
hasn't been seen since WW2.These folks will go down as some of the
greatest warriors in this century or any other. The only thing that
could hurt this plan is lack of time.
The only other thing that could hurt the plan would be if the Arab
street stopped themselves from being rabidly obsessed with honor,
humiliation and jihad. If they went home, tended their gardens, worked
at their jobs, contributed to life..everything would be ok.
Let's see if they can do that....
References
1. http://powerandcontrol.blogspot.com/2006/07/tactics-strategy-grand-strategy.html
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