[whataretheysaying] Mary Madigan: Using their hate against them

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Tue Aug 1 15:01:41 EDT 2006


Posted by Mary Madigan:
Using their hate against them
http://whataretheysaying.powerblogs.com/posts/1154458877.shtml


   M. Simon offers [1]more on strategy:

     The Arab world is rising up behind behind Hizbollah. The Egyptians
     lost the Six Day War and here Hizbollah has been fighting for over
     two weeks and is still in the field. A moral victory if not a real
     one.

     So there is the civilian morale factors. There are of course others
     which I intend to ignore for purposes of this analysis.

     Next I'd like to state Israel's maximum war aims, followed by how
     the war in Lebanon started and evolved. What is the desired outcome
     for Israel? The defeat of Hizbollah, Syria, and Iran.How do you do
     that? Pin the Hizbollah. Take the Bekaa resupply area. Syria gets
     involved out of popular desire, and because the Bekaa Valley is on
     the Syrian border. Iran comes in to support Syria. America takes
     out Iran.

     So those are the goals and grand strategy. What strategy and
     tactics are required to achieve those goals?

     The first part of the strategy was to give Hizbollah 24 hours to
     respond to Israeli demands to return its soldiers or else. With no
     response Israel crossed the border but didn't get far. Raids.
     Reconisance in force. Day after day. Occasionally new troops are
     called up. Stupid Olmert insist that they be used to relieve front
     line troops. They rotate in and out of what amounts to a live fire
     exercise. Hizbollah is being attrited but no ground is being
     gained. The Israeli Army and government is looking more and more
     incompetent by the day. Israel defeated five armies in the Six Day
     War. It is now going on two weeks plus and 5,000 Hezbollah fighters
     are holding the mighty Israeli Army within a few miles of the
     border. The front is static. The hizzies are winning. This is no
     Six Day War. The Israeli forces are checked by what appears to be a
     force barely adequate to hold them for a day let alone several
     weeks. Things are not going well. Not going well at all. The Arab
     street is convinced of the ineptness Israeli generalship. The
     civilians in goverment from Olmert on down are giving the military
     bad advice. Who put those galoots in charge? The thing that is
     fooling most people is that Olmert, Peretz, and the rest look and
     sound like nebbishes. And they are mostly Labor. Not known for
     their warrior spirit. All the better. And all the reporting about
     cabinet meetings saying there is dissention in the cabinent and
     they are holding the troops back.

     That is almost all deception. Its purpose is to entice Syria and
     Iran. If that doesn't work secondary pressure can be brought from
     an inflamed Arab street. And the Arab street is on fire. So much so
     that Saudi Arabia has been forced to change its "official position"
     on the war. And the troop rotations? Well when the big push comes
     you will have a lot of very well and recently trained troops to
     lead the way and teach others. Reducing casualties.

     In any case Hizbollah is pinned. Its forces reduced and the axis of
     advance to the Bekka Valley has had the chance and intensity of
     flank attacks reduced.

     This is what is called preparing the battlefield. Such artistry
     hasn't been seen since WW2.These folks will go down as some of the
     greatest warriors in this century or any other. The only thing that
     could hurt this plan is lack of time.

   The only other thing that could hurt the plan would be if the Arab
   street stopped themselves from being rabidly obsessed with honor,
   humiliation and jihad. If they went home, tended their gardens, worked
   at their jobs, contributed to life..everything would be ok.

   Let's see if they can do that....

References

   1. http://powerandcontrol.blogspot.com/2006/07/tactics-strategy-grand-strategy.html



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