[speedgibson] Speed Gibson: A Cure Worse Than the Disease
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Tue Nov 25 19:35:31 EST 2008
Posted by Speed Gibson:
A Cure Worse Than the Disease
http://speedgibson.powerblogs.com/posts/1227659725.shtml
Minneapolis Star Tribune columnist Nick Coleman says Instant Runoff
Voting (IRV) would have "cleaned up" the U.S. Senate Race weeks ago.
This is ridiculous on its face.
Let's first look at the current situation, a very close race that yes,
may not get resolved for still more weeks. Given the stakes, the
losing side will likely claim that a great injustice was done. Really?
Elections are obviously much more precise than polls, but are not
perfectly so, especially in major contests like here, with millions of
votes cast. Every recount will likely produce a slightly different
outcome. When the margin of victory is on the order of the margin of
error, God only knows who truly won. The losing side should maturely
accept the outcome, barring a credible reason to do another count.
About the same number will be pleased as disappointed and there is no
injustice either way. Even with IRV, that reality remains. Except that
IRV could make things far worse, for IRV would often deny the
candidate with the most votes the victory. That would be an injustice,
no longer a contest of one man, one vote. Elections would soon be
engineered with shadow candidates to deliberately take advantage of
this new non-linearity.
Imagine what the DFL would say if Franken had won by say, 45-43 only
to have Barkley's 12 points divided up by IRV to give Coleman a 51-49
win? They would not go quietly, and they'd have the moral high ground
were it not for their role in enacting IRV.
I am concerned for the spoiler role that third parties are too often
playing. The clear answer to me, if one is needed, is to resolve this
in a true Primary in September, the top two moving on to the General
in November. In Minneapolis, that might mean two Democrats or a
Democrat vs a Green. Elsewhere, it might mean two Republicans, one a
Ron Paul follower. But it preserves one man, one vote.
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