[Dean's World] Scott Kirwin: Southern California Real Estate
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Wed Sep 12 09:02:34 EDT 2007
Posted by Scott Kirwin:
Southern California Real Estate
http://www.deanesmay.com/posts/1189566100.shtml
As [1]I mentioned earlier the family spent a few days in Southern
California visiting the Marine. During our stay we did some sniffing
around the real estate market and as expected the market isn't doing
too well these days.
One agent of new homes had crossed out the prices on the brochures and
wrote in numbers that were 20% less than the printed originals. Even
odder was his statement that if we landed the mortgage, we could
pretty much name our own price. He was either a very slick salesman or
the market is in serious trouble in Temecula.
One thing I couldn't help but notice however, is the amount of land -
and the quality of the land - covered with commercial buildings. For
example, the Marine lives outside of San Clemente, and on a mesa
nearby there is a U-Store it company, numerous empty corporate
offices, and a non-profit animal shelter. All these buildings were
new, spacious and offered a stunning view of nearby Camp Pendleton.
Meanwhile the single family homes on the next mesa were 3,000 sq ft
homes packed side-by-side and selling from "the low $1,000,000's." I
couldn't help but think that something seriously wacky was going on.
It wasn't just in San Clemente; I saw the same thing in Riverside and
San Diego counties as well. You would think that if land was expensive
then establishments like car dealerships, warehouses and other
businesses that need a lot of land to function would be forced
elsewhere. But there they were - near tiny homes that sold for
millions.
Plus there are a lot of strip malls with large spaces filled with
businesses that couldn't possibly afford the overhead - if the real
estate market was functioning freely and openly. A quick Google search
for San Clemente found office space renting for less than a $1/sq
foot. I couldn't come up with sales numbers without submitting direct
queries, but that strikes me as pretty cheap compared to the home
market.
So what gives? Any ideas? Anyone? Anyone? Bueller?
References
1. http://www.deanesmay.com/posts/1189383894.shtml
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