[Dean's World] Dave Price: Lies, Damned Lies, And The BBC/ABC/USA Today Poll

[notify at powerblogs.com]

Posted by Dave Price:
Lies, Damned Lies, And The BBC/ABC/USA Today Poll
http://www.deanesmay.com/posts/1174332804.shtml


   [1]Another poll came out today, with much more negative sentiments.

     And just 38% said the situation in the country was better than
     before the 2003 war, while 50% said it was worse.

   So how does one reconcile this with the [2]earlier poll, which found
   Iraqis saying by 2:1 that life is better now?
   Well, fortunately in this case it's quite easy, because the new poll
   is incredibly, egregiously misrepresentative.
   The new poll is [3]thirty-five percent Sunni Arabs (p37), who
   benefitted from Saddam's regime and are generally much angrier and
   more pessimistic about the invasion and its results than the other
   groups. That's right, thirty-five percent in a country where most
   estimates of Sunni Arab population are [4]around 15% (note that the
   Sunni number given by the CIA Factbook includes Kurds, who are more
   than half the total Sunnis in Iraq). They're oversampling Sunni Arabs
   by roughly two to one.
   Unless I'm missing something here, somebody has some serious
   explaining to do.

References

   1. file://localhost/var/www/powerblogs/deanesmay/posts/1174332804.html
   2. http://www.timesonline.co.uk/tol/news/world/iraq/article1530762.ece
   3. http://abcnews.go.com/images/US/1033aIraqpoll.pdf
   4. https://www.cia.gov/cia/publications/factbook/geos/iz.html