[Dean's World] Dean: I Am Not A Global Warming Heretic, or Denier
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Wed Aug 15 19:06:10 EDT 2007
Posted by Dean:
I Am Not A Global Warming Heretic, or Denier
http://www.deanesmay.com/posts/1187217523.shtml
I am a skeptic.
For people who truly understand, a "skeptic" does not say "I think X
is not true." A skeptic says, "I am not convinced about X, and I have
some tough questions." Which, to me, has always been where science
truly starts.
I'm often astonished how some people, especially some with college
degrees in science, can't distinguish the difference.
Many of my friends and teachers who have been working scientists have
told me a certain dirty fact: there are an awful lot of "scientists"
who are nothing but bureaucrats and self-serving suckups and
administrative button-counters and bottle-washers-- just like every
other honest and admirable profession in the world.
On global warming, my exact position has been the same for years:
1) It is undeniable that there is Climate Change.
2) It is virtually 100% certain that human beings are contributing to
Climate Change.
3) It appears highly likely that there is a general warming trend in
the world at the moment.
4) CO2 levels have clearly been increasing globally for decades.
So, given that I agree to all of that, what exactly am I "doubting" or
"denying" or expressing "heresy" or whatever on? I await a succinct
answer upon that.
In the meantime, what is not clear to me, and has not been clear to me
for some time is:
1) The increase in CO2 levels is the primary cause of whatever warming
trend we've seen recently. How sure are you? It's okay if you have
some doubt. But how high is that doubt? 10%? 20%? 30%? What's your
confidence interval?
2) Regardless of how certain you are, a separate question: is this
truly the most important ecological question we face as a species and
as a planet? Should this truly be our #1 priority, ecologically and in
terms of nationa, species, or planetary-survival?
I've been saying most of this pretty consistently for quite some years
now. Indeed, I'm pretty sure that (aside from maybe a sarcastic
comment now and then) that I haven't changed my view on that in a
decade.
For the record, I have read [1]Al Gore's Earth in the Balance
cover-to-cover, including all footnotes, and checked many of his
references. Have you?
I've also read [2]Rarchel Carson's Silent Spring by the way. Have you
read it, Mr. Self-righteous Liberal or Ms. All-Knowing Conservative? I
even have the special edition where Al Gore wrote his own introduction
to it somewhere in my library. I remember being as unimpressed with it
as I was with Al Gore's incredibly self-serving, messianic political
campaign movie, [3]An Inconvenient Truth, which he quite transparently
hoped would transport him to the Presidency in 2008 and still hopes
will make him a viable candidate in 2012. (Which is just fine by the
way, but let's not kid ourselves that this man is in any way smarter
or more noble than, say, George Bush or Bill Clinton, because he
isn't. Although he's still a more honest pseudo-documentarian
propagandist than, say, a hatemonger like [4]Michael Moore).
Indeed, for some time now I've been saying that if Al Gore and their
supporters would just drop their destructive opposition to nuclear
power, I would be willing to compromise and support some of their
other proposals which I found dubious. All they had to do was stop
demonizing nuclear power (the most environmentally friendly,
greenhouse-gas-free form of power generation ever invented), and Al
Gore publicly refused to do that.
Nix that, and I'm not on your side and will never be, and will instead
continue to do my best to (A) educate people on why they've been
snookered by the ridiculous luddites who oppose nuclear power, and (B)
continue to point out why everyday people should be skeptical of
global warming scaremongers, especially those who clearly have a
financial motive behind such scaremongering.
"Denier?" "Heretic?" "Doubter?" Yeah. Pick whatever convenient label
helps you ignore the substantive arguments raised here (and elsewhere,
not just by me but by many others).
References
1. http://www.amazon.com/Earth-Balance-Ecology-Human-Spirit/dp/1594866376/ref=pd_bbs_sr_1/002-2934385-8933625?ie=UTF8&s=books&qid=1187217353&sr=1-1/deansworld01-20
2. http://www.amazon.com/Silent-Spring-Rachel-Carson/dp/0618249060/ref=pd_bbs_sr_1/002-2934385-8933625?ie=UTF8&s=books&qid=1187217892&sr=1-1/deansworld01-20
3. http://www.amazon.com/Inconvenient-Truth-Al-Gore/dp/B000ICL3KG/ref=pd_bbs_sr_1/002-2934385-8933625?ie=UTF8&s=dvd&qid=1187218498&sr=1-1/deansworld01-20
4. http://www.davekopel.com/Terror/Fiftysix-Deceits-in-Fahrenheit-911.htm
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