[Dean's World] Dave Price: A Reply To Right Wing Nuthouse
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Mon Apr 30 15:14:47 EDT 2007
Posted by Dave Price:
A Reply To Right Wing Nuthouse
http://www.deanesmay.com/posts/1177960477.shtml
Rick Moran has [1]become [2]pessimistic on the war, and says time is
now our biggest enemy in Iraq. Ah, time.
I remember being told in 2004 Iraqis wouldnât vote or wanted a
theocracy. In 2005 we were informed by experts that the effort to
liberalize Iraq was doomed because they couldnât agree on a
constitution, and in 2006 they couldnât form a government. This year,
most were confident the Anbari tribes were never going to join the
police. Thereâs always something for defeatists to point to. Just pick
up your morning paper and the MSM will be trumpeting the insoluble
problem du jour.
Rick says he has reached his new opinon based on the many [3]mistakes
[4]made in Iraq. Ah, mistakes.
Why was the fleet at Pearl Harbor caught unawares and defenseless? How
did hundreds of slow-moving, obsolete torpedo bombers end up being
sent into utterly hopeless and futile attacks on the Japanese fleet,
attacks from which almost none returned alive? Who decided to send
U.S. forces into battle with the underarmed and underarmored Sherman
tank? Why did we continue to waste the lives of thousands of Marines
in suicidal frontal assaults against fortified Japanese positions long
after it was clear the tactic was ineffective? How the hell did
military planners not anticipate Europe would have hedgerows? Surely
such incompetence should have doomed our efforts -- but of course it
did not. Much of the prowess of the Western military tradition is the
result of its ability to self-critcize and [5]adapt, as is happening
now in Iraq.
Also, apparently long-forgotten are the brilliant triumphs of 2003,
the lightning three-week advance to Baghdad (itself described more
than once as âbogged down,â and with at least one prominent retired
general predicting disaster, saying âwe didnât bring enough armor to
this fightâ), the single glorious âthunder runâ through Baghdad which
was sufficient to cause the regimeâs forces to collapse. One must
weigh not only failures, but also successes, including the rise of
democracy and basic freedoms.
I agree with Rick that Bush has not been a great communicator on the
war, which is probably one reason why there is so much excitement
about [6]Giuliani in the GOP despite his social liberalism. With
virtually the entire MSM arrayed against the effort, it takes a master
orator to put things in their proper context and drive perceptions.
But absent such inspired leadership, rational men and women must
distill the truth from the morass of agenda-driven journalism
themselves, and employ empiricism to draw conclusions. This is where I
think those forecasting defeat fail.
In Iraq, if not in America, time appears to be on our side, not
against us: in addition to the progress noted above, every day the ISF
get a little stronger while the insurgents' relative position gets a
little weaker. The [7]tide has turned in Anbar. Petraeus is deFOBbing
our troops into small, local garrisons that create security for Iraqis
rather than security from Iraqis. Al-Sadr has fled the field and many
Shia militias are apparently standing down.
Hereâs a simple point that very few Americans understand: Aside from
Sunni Arabs, most Iraqis donât think the current situation in Iraq is
that bad right now. Polling shows this [8]over and over again, with a
majority saying life is going fairly well. How is that possible, with
the car bombs going off all over? Well, Iraq isnât the U.S. or Europe:
if youâre Kurdish or Shia, thereâs a good chance youâre digging your
relatives out of mass graves put there by the last regime, and youâve
certainly spent the last few decades without [9]basic freedoms like
assembly, speech, and pressâor being allowed unrestricted access to
things like cars, satellite dishes, computers, and cell phones.
Liberalizing Iraq was never going to be easy, that insufficiently
foreseen reality the legacy of a brutal kleptocratic police state
dotted with rape rooms and mass graves, where Sunni Arabs terrorized
Shia and Kurd with arms bought by oil money stolen out from under
those it oppressed. We should just be thankful the price of freedom
for Iraq isnât nearly as bloody as in South Korea, Japan, or Germany
-- or, as a commenter noted, the American South.
References
1. http://rightwingnuthouse.com/archives/2007/04/27/time-is-now-the-biggest-enemy-in-iraq
2. http://rightwingnuthouse.com/archives/2007/04/29/a-clarification-or-two/
3. http://blogs.usatoday.com/ondeadline/2007/01/top_generals_li.html
4. http://www.armedforcesjournal.com/2007/05/2635198
5. http://instapundit.com/archives2/004647.php
6. http://www.gwu.edu/~action/2004/repconv04/giuliani083004sp.html
7. http://www.nytimes.com/2007/04/29/world/middleeast/29ramadi.html?ex=1335585600&en=56f686052b572dac&ei=5124&partner=permalink&exprod=permalink
8. http://www3.brookings.edu/fp/saban/iraq/index.pdf
9. http://gatewaypundit.blogspot.com/2007/04/iraqi-kurds-protest-against-honor.html
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