[Dean's World] Kevin D.: The Numbers Don't Add Up

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Posted by Kevin D.:
The Numbers Don't Add Up
http://www.deanesmay.com/posts/1165238490.shtml


   We know that in 1780 there were 300,000 aborigines living in
   Australia. Scientists believe theyâve been there for some 60,000
   years.

   Do the numbers add up?

   Throughout recorded human history population growth has been pretty
   much 1% worldwide. Letâs assume for the moment that 60, 000 years ago
   20 people arrived on Australia and began to reproduce. Letâs give them
   a population growth rate of not 1% but 0.28%. What number do we end up
   with 60,000 years later with a 0.28% population growth? Letâs just say
   the aborigines would be more numerous than the number atoms in our
   galaxy.

   So, what gives?

   We have no reason to believe aborigine population growth was less than
   1% for those 60,000 years and giving them 0.28% population growth is
   very, very kind. Unrealistically kind.

   As I see it, either aborigines arrived in Australia a lot sooner than
   60,000 years ago, like 3,000 (or less), and we give them the realistic
   1% population growth percentage to arrive at their 1780 numbers or
   their population growth was so low that it would essentially be 0% and
   science has no explanation why the culture survived period.