No subject
Sat Aug 12 12:45:05 EDT 2006
Kathleen writes:
From the [1]Freakonomics blog, I found this article: [2]Three
Things You Don't Know About AIDS In Africa. It's not entirely
related to the issues you have with AIDS, but I thought it would be
interesting.
In fact it is entirely related to the issues I have with the
scientific status quo. I don't know, for example, that Peter Duesberg
is correct. But I do know that he simply does not deserve the kicking
around he's gotten. A sane, rational scientific community would be
saying, "Well you know, Peter's kind of a maverick and we think he's
off-base here but he's a good guy who has made some worthy
contributions, and anyway here's why we think he's wrong." The fury,
the absolute condemnation, and the utter contempt have always hit me
as a major red flag. Ditto the idea that just by expressing his doubts
he's a threat to world health--what, adults are not allowed to hear
about scientific doubters? Just hearing the doubts expressed is going
to kill millions of people?
The truth is that independent researchers--mathematicians,
mathematical biologists, medical doctors, and many others have looked
at the data repeatedly and said, "you know, there's something very
wrong here." Now an independent economist has drawn the same
conclusion. She takes the standard position that HIV is dangerous, but
concludes that the numbers we've had thrown at us about how HIV is
ravaging Africa just don't add up. Which, quite obviously, they do
not.
You have here a virus that even the establishment now admits carries
about a 1 in 1,000 chance of being transmitted through sexual
intercourse--i.e. if you sleep one time with an HIV infected person
you have only a 1 in 1,000 chance of picking up the virus yourself.
Even assuming the virus is all it's cracked up to be, that is wildly
at odds with the danger that we were all told it represented.
For years they told us this virus was 100% lethal--that it would "kill
Clark Kent" in Robert Gallo's words--and that turns out not to be the
case. In fact, we've got people who've been HIV+ for over 20 years who
are still walking around healthy as horses, refusing to take any
medication, and willing to be part of experiments. Yet until very
recently no one in the research community has expressed much of any
interest in even talking to them.
They also now admit that the plague never really ravaged the US or
European population, and is never going to.
Ah, but in Africa, it's totally out of control in the black population
(and only the black population). Which means those primitive darkies
must be screwing like rabid jackrabbits. Indeed, they often told us
that as many as 1 in 3 black Africans were already dying of this
hideous virus. As far back as the 1980s they were telling us that. Yet
mysteriously, sub-Saharan Africa's population continues to grow at a
brisk pace. So apparently after the raging epidemic started killing
off a full third of the population, black African women started having
babies at several times the normal rate?
Ah, but it was the rethinkers, the skeptics and the questioners, who
all along were the nutjobs where were completely in the wrong?
I linked this earlier, but I'll link it again: [3]Dr. Jeffrey Dach on
fried watermelons. Still seems pretty on the money to me.
References
1. http://www.freakonomics.com/blog/
2. http://www.esquire.com/features/articles/2006/061105_mfe_December_06_=
Oster.html
3. http://barnesworld.blogs.com/barnes_world/2006/11/jeffrey_dach_on.html
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