[antimedia] antimedia: Overseas outsourcing is a hot topic these days....
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Mon Jan 8 23:01:56 EST 2007
Posted by antimedia:
Overseas outsourcing is a hot topic these days....
http://www.antimedia.us/posts/1168315312.shtml
....and the very mention of it gets some people irrationally angry.
[1]A Dallas Morning News article discusses the topic from a broader
view and makes some very interesting observations. The first
industrial revolution moved people from the farm to the city. The
second moved people from manufacturing jobs to the service sector. In
each case, the economy grew, people adjusted and the country
prospered.
What will the overseas outsourcing (or "offshoring") movement do? Will
it destroy America?
That said, we should not view the coming wave of offshoring as an
impending catastrophe. Nor should we try to stop it. The normal
gains from trade mean that the world as a whole cannot lose from
increases in productivity, and the United States and other
industrial countries have not only weathered but also benefited
from comparable changes in the past.
But in order to do so again, the governments and societies of the
developed world must face up to the massive, complex, and
multifaceted challenges that offshoring will bring. National data
systems, trade policies, educational systems, social welfare
programs and politics all must adapt to new realities.
Unfortunately, none of this is happening now.
There are some professions that have already been affected by
offshoring, computer programming being one of the hardest hit, but
many professionals think they won't be affected. Think twice.
Robotics will make it possible to have routine surgery done over the
internet, employing a physician from Poland to work on a patient in
Ohio, for example. Personal physicians, however, will probably remain
a local service, because they have to see, touch and talk to a patient
for best results. Interns will still be needed in hospitals but
specialists can probably work from anywhere. Perhaps the third
industrial revolution will move people from the cities back to the
country, completing the circle.
The writer points out that the real distinction between what can be
offshored and what cannot be is the need to be face to face with a
customer or client.
Think of the coming labor market reality like this. Services that
cannot be delivered electronically, or that are notably inferior
when so delivered, have one essential characteristic: Personal,
face-to-face contact is imperative or highly desirable. Think of
the waiter who serves you dinner, or the cop on the beat. But such
face-to-face human contact is not necessary in the relationship you
have with the operator who arranges your conference call or the
clerk who takes your airline reservation over the phone.
The first group of tasks can be called personally delivered
services, or simply personal services, and the second group
impersonally delivered services, or impersonal services. In the
brave new world of globalized electronic commerce, impersonal
services have more in common with manufactured goods that can be
put in boxes than they do with personal services. Thus, many
impersonal services are destined to become tradable and therefore
vulnerable to offshoring.
By contrast, most personal services have attributes that cannot be
transmitted through a wire. Some require face-to-face contact
(child care), some are inherently "high-touch" (nursing), some
involve high levels of personal trust (psychotherapy), and some
depend on location-specific attributes (lobbying).
However, the dividing line between personal and impersonal services
will move over time. As information technology improves, more and
more personal services will become impersonal services. No one
knows how far this process will go, or exactly what technological
changes the future will bring.
One element the writer, a professor at Princeton, doesn't address is
the need for stability.
Offshoring won't work if a country is unstable, if its laws aren't
enforced uniformly or if contractural "fairness" doesn't exist. There
would, therefore, be a strong impetus for politicians to pass laws
that can be relied upon, to enforce contracts fairly and to ensure
national stability or their country would fall behind in the battle
for offshoring business.
Whether this incentive can overcome man's natural greed or his desire
to take advantage of his fellow man remains to be seen. The countries
that curb those urges most successfully will win the battle for
business and their economies will prosper. Democracies, then, would
seem to have a natural advantage in the battle for business.
References
1. http://www.dallasnews.com/sharedcontent/dws/dn/opinion/points/stories/DN-blinder_07edi.ART1.State.Edition1.3d5b131.html
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