[antimedia] antimedia: Al Gore is a liar....
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Sun Jul 2 21:34:06 EDT 2006
Posted by antimedia:
Al Gore is a liar....
http://www.antimedia.us/posts/1151890442.shtml
....and [1]he himself admits it in an interview with George
Stephanpoulos. Gore is pedaling his new moview, An Inconvenient Truth,
which claims to tell the truth about global warming. Yet nothing could
be further from the truth.
According to Al Gore's new film "An Inconvenient Truth," we're in
for "a planetary emergency": melting ice sheets, huge increases in
sea levels, more and stronger hurricanes, and invasions of tropical
disease, among other cataclysms--unless we change the way we live
now.
Bill Clinton has become the latest evangelist for Mr. Gore's
gospel, proclaiming that current weather events show that he and
Mr. Gore were right about global warming, and we are all suffering
the consequences of President Bush's obtuseness on the matter. And
why not? Mr. Gore assures us that "the debate in the scientific
community is over."
The debate is over? Watch this.
Even Mr. Gore qualified his statement on ABC only a few minutes
after he made it, clarifying things in an important way. When Mr.
Stephanopoulos confronted Mr. Gore with the fact that the best
estimates of rising sea levels are far less dire than he suggests
in his movie, Mr. Gore defended his claims by noting that
scientists "don't have any models that give them a high level of
confidence" one way or the other and went on to claim--in his
defense--that scientists "don't know. . . . They just don't know."
If they don't know, as Gore admits, then there is no concensus as Gore
asserts.
Furthermore, an atmospheric scientist at MIT (not exactly a backwater
of the scientific community) and the author of the cited oped points
out that concensus on global warming is quite elusive.
The other elements of the global-warming scare scenario are
predicated on similar oversights. Malaria, claimed as a byproduct
of warming, was once common in Michigan and Siberia and remains
common in Siberia--mosquitoes don't require tropical warmth.
Hurricanes, too, vary on multidecadal time scales; sea-surface
temperature is likely to be an important factor. This temperature,
itself, varies on multidecadal time scales. However, questions
concerning the origin of the relevant sea-surface temperatures and
the nature of trends in hurricane intensity are being hotly argued
within the profession.
Even among those arguing, there is general agreement that we can't
attribute any particular hurricane to global warming. To be sure,
there is one exception, Greg Holland of the National Center for
Atmospheric Research in Boulder, Colo., who argues that it must be
global warming because he can't think of anything else. While
arguments like these, based on lassitude, are becoming rather
common in climate assessments, such claims, given the primitive
state of weather and climate science, are hardly compelling.
A general characteristic of Mr. Gore's approach is to assiduously
ignore the fact that the earth and its climate are dynamic; they
are always changing even without any external forcing. To treat all
change as something to fear is bad enough; to do so in order to
exploit that fear is much worse. Regardless, these items are
clearly not issues over which debate is ended--at least not in
terms of the actual science.
A clearer claim as to what debate has ended is provided by the
environmental journalist Gregg Easterbrook. He concludes that the
scientific community now agrees that significant warming is
occurring, and that there is clear evidence of human influences on
the climate system. This is still a most peculiar claim. At some
level, it has never been widely contested. Most of the climate
community has agreed since 1988 that global mean temperatures have
increased on the order of one degree Fahrenheit over the past
century, having risen significantly from about 1919 to 1940,
decreased between 1940 and the early '70s, increased again until
the '90s, and remaining essentially flat since 1998.
Perhaps Gore really believes his own hype, but I take offense when
someone wants to spend trillions of dollars attacking a problem that
we can't even prove exists. (Hat tip to [2]Newsbusters.)
References
1. http://www.opinionjournal.com/extra/?id=110008597
2. http://newsbusters.org/node/6231
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